UPDATE : Alfonso Cuaron won Best Director forRoma .

Last Updated : February 21 , 2019

With theOscarsright around the corner , it ’s time to take a flavor at who has the just chances of win Best Director . In one of the most broad candid awards wash in recent memory , this is one of the few categories that seems to have been decided well ahead of time , and it could be a game - changing evolution for the film manufacture as a whole . Roma , a Netflix release , lead the pack with 10 nominations , admit Best Director for Alfonso Cuarón . He ’s picked up several trophies already , but a winnings at the Oscars would go a long room to legitimize Netflix as a player on the awards electrical circuit with labor likeMartin Scorsese’sThe IrishmanandSpike Lee’sDa 5 Bloodson the way .

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But nothing is locked in Harlan F. Stone yet , and there are four other very deserving filmmakers who could hear their name shout on Oscar Sunday - include one image who ’s arguably long overdue for an Academy Award of his own . Here , we run down the five nominees for Best Director in 2019 , ranking them in lodge of most likely to least likely to take home the gold .

Related : Screen Rant ’s 2019 Best Actor Predictions

Alfonso Cuarón - Roma

Cuarón is a premature winner of this honor for his work on the breathtakingGravity , which excellently made a journalist believe it was actually film in space . WithRoma , the acclaimed filmmaker stay to hone his trade , render another potent and immersive story- with a personal touch to iron boot . Drawing from retentiveness of his own younker , Cuarón crafted an internal , semi - autobiographic facial expression at a Mexican family live in the 1970s , elevating what was already a technically telling film ( the beautiful filming and top pass legal innovation made it a must - see in theaters for those living in certain markets ) to something excited and heartfelt . Critics and Netflix viewers were left spellbound by what Cuarón achieve .

Cuarón surge out front of his competition by advance all of the top Oscar precursors this year . He received Best Director prize at the Golden Globes , critic ' Choice Awards ( whereRomaalso make headway Best Picture ) , and the all - important Directors Guild Awards . It ’s impossible to overstate how vital the DGA was for Cuarón ’s Oscar chances . This decennium , the only time the DGA did n’t align with the Oscars was 2012 , when the Academy infamously snubbed Ben Affleck forArgo . Cuarón is securely in the driver ’s bum and if he does n’t take home his second life history Best Directing Oscar , it ’ll be one of the night ’s biggest surprises .

Spike Lee - BlacKkKlansman

Cuarón is so far in the lead of the plurality mightily now , all the other nominee essentially will just have to be contented with attend the ceremony . However , if there ’s a unaired competitor in Best Director , it ’s most likely Lee . The polarizing and brilliant auteur behind play likeDo the properly ThingandMalcolmXdelivered his best film in years withBlacKkKlansman . A period piece that function some well-timed and hard - off social comment , the movie is a Spike Lee joint through and through , as the veteran steersman deftly poise the revulsion and wit of the real - life position and made something that was entertaining and harrowing at the same clip . BlacKkKlansmanis truly a motion-picture show only Lee could have made , and the remnant results evidence that .

Related : What BlacKkKlansman ’s Ending Really Means

Lee finally scored his first ever Best Director nomination this year , which was the latest of several other accolades he ’s picked up this season . He also take in nod from the Golden Globes , Critics ' Choice Awards , and DGA . Unfortunately for Lee , he lost all of those to Cuarón , which put him at a distinct disadvantage in attentiveness to the Oscars . If Lee has anything working in his favour , it ’s the overdue story ( Cuarón gain in 2013 ) . For many , he ’s an influential director with an telling filmography that includes several notable cut . Lee does have an Honorary Award from the Academy , but no competitive Academy Award . But if he ’s to win something this year , his good dead reckoning is arguably in the Best adapt Screenplay Category . Perhaps he ’ll get enough support from the directors branch to upset Cuarón , but it ’s unlikely .

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Yorgos Lanthimos - The Favourite

Anyone familiar with Lanthimos ' filmography knows he ’s an acquired taste that does n’t appeal to everyone ( which is n’t always the best recipe for success at the Oscars ) , but he has his fair portion of lover in the Academy . Lanthimos was previously constitute for Best Original Screenplay forThe Lobster , which was the first step towards a greater reception . Period costume dramaThe Favouritekept scoring the accolade , and ended up tyingRomafor the most Oscar nods of the year with 10 . Spinning delicious narration out of the flow costume dramatic play , Lanthimos crafted a tale of love and powerfulness that evidence too great to stand firm .

Besides Cuarón be given aside with everything , Lanthimos ' odds of gain ground the Oscar are low because he was snubbed by some of the major precursors . While he did pluck up a Best Director nod at the Critics ' Choice Awards , he was n’t recognized by the Golden Globes or DGA . He ranks this mellow on our list because his film clearly has far-flung financial support from the Academy and was one of their - ahem - favourite of the yr . However , it ’d be extremely strange for Lanthimos to leap ahead of the bunch and get the award .

Adam McKay - Vice

Few would have predicted the man behind Will Ferrell vehiclesTalladega NightsandStep Brotherswould make a vocation pivot to becoming an honour ducky , but that ’s exactly what happen . McKay establish himself as a critical darling back in 2015 , whenThe Big Shortwon the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay and was propose for Best Picture and Best Director . He ’s back in the fold this year withVice , a biopic revolve about around former U.S. vice chairperson Dick Cheney . Much of the conversation around the film coveredChristian Bale ’s transformative performancein the lead character , but McKay also did some fantastic work .

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Vicereceived the most polarizing reviews of any awards rival outside ofBohemian Rhapsody , but awards voters are quite fond of what McKay turn out . He gain nomination from the Golden Globes , Critics ' Choice , and DGA , but like all of the non - Cuarón entry here , he did n’t win any of them . Plus , Vice’sdivisiveness plausibly lower McKay ’s chances , since his bluff and outlandish originative alternative did n’t work for everyone . If he keeps up this current flight , perhaps he will acquire a Best Director Oscar one day , but this is n’t his year . McKay is also up for Best Original Screenplay , so maybe he ’ll have good luck there . That family is much more blanket candid .

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Pawel Pawlikowski - Cold War

Everyone think Bradley Cooper was a shoo - in for directingA Star is yield , but one of the bad shockers of nominations morning was Pawlikowski getting in forCold War . The Polish drama was always one of the expected campaigner for Best Foreign Language Film , but few felt it had what it take to snap this lineup . Unlike Cuarón onRoma , Pawlikowski did n’t get much recognition during the precursors . His most prominent nomination prior to the Academy was at the Critics ' Choice Awards . Pawlikowski was ignored by the Golden Globes and DGA .

The situation is interchangeable toRoma’spair of acting nomination . It ’s great they ’re in the field , but their deficiency of succeeder with the precursors makes it difficult to envision a scenario in which they gain . Of of course , this class ’s proven anything is potential , but Pawlikowski seems like the long shot out of all the nominees .

More:Screen Rant’s 2019 Best Actress Predictions

Oscars Best Director Nominees

Alfonso Cuarón directs Roma on Netflix.

Spike Lee and John David Washington filming BlacKkKlansman

Emma Stone and Yorgos Lanthimos filming The Favourite

Sam Rockwell, Adam McKay, and Christian Bale filming Vice

Tomasz Kot in Cold War

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